II
iHeartMedia, Inc. (IHRT)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 revenue declined 1.1% YoY to $997.0M (but grew 2.8% ex-political), while Adjusted EBITDA was essentially flat YoY at $204.8M; GAAP operating loss of $116.3M was driven by a $208.5M non‑cash impairment of FCC licenses .
- Digital Audio Group outperformed: revenue +13.5% YoY to $341.7M, podcast revenue +22.5% to $139.7M, and segment Adjusted EBITDA +30.3% with margins expanding 490 bps to 38.1% .
- Management guided Q4 revenue down low-single digits YoY (up mid-single digits ex-political) and Q4 Adjusted EBITDA of $200–$240M; they reaffirmed $150M net cost savings in 2025 and announced an additional $50M of annual savings beginning in 2026 .
- Strategic catalysts: new programmatic audio integrations with Amazon DSP and StackAdapt, plus a TikTok partnership that launches a TikTok Podcast Network and a national “TikTok Radio” station—moves aimed at monetization and cross‑platform reach .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
-
What Went Well
- Digital strength and profitability: Digital Audio Group revenue +13.5% YoY to $341.7M, podcast +22.5% to $139.7M, and segment Adjusted EBITDA +30.3% with 38.1% margin; CEO: “we are committed to exploring new ways to unlock the value of our unparalleled assets” .
- Programmatic/partnership momentum: “new relationship with Amazon Ads” to bring iHeart streaming (and later podcasts/broadcast) into Amazon DSP; plus a new TikTok partnership; Bob Pittman: “making our broadcast inventory transact like digital” .
- Cost actions on track: “on track to generate $150M net savings in 2025,” and “took new actions that will generate $50M of additional annual savings beginning in 2026” .
-
What Went Wrong
- Multiplatform Group softness: revenue down 4.6% YoY to $591.2M and segment Adjusted EBITDA down 8.3%; weakness attributed to lower political revenue and broadcast ad softness .
- Audio & Media Services pressure: revenue down 26.0% YoY to $66.6M and segment Adjusted EBITDA down 49.1%, reflecting the non‑election year and ad market uncertainty .
- Free cash flow negative: FCF was ($32.8)M vs $73.3M prior year on non‑cash trade timing, lower political prepayments vs PY, and working capital timing; cash from ops was ($9.5)M .
Financial Results
Consolidated trend (Q1–Q3 2025)
Q3 2025 vs prior year and prior quarter; and vs S&P Global consensus
Note: Consensus from S&P Global shown with asterisks; Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment performance (Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024)
Revenue stream KPIs (Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024)
Liquidity and leverage (quarter-end)
- Cash: $192.2M; Total debt: $5,120.3M; Net Debt: $4,673.8M; Total available liquidity: $509.8M .
- Management indicated net debt/Adjusted EBITDA of 6.6x and intent to repay $100M ABL by year-end .
Guidance Changes
Management notes they cannot reconcile Adjusted EBITDA guidance to GAAP without unreasonable efforts .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Bob Pittman (CEO): “We’re pleased with our third quarter performance… and up 2.8% excluding political revenue… our new relationship with Amazon Ads… and our new TikTok partnership… We are committed to… maximizing the unique position we occupy… and creating innovative cross-platform opportunities” .
- Rich Bressler (President/COO/CFO): “Digital Audio Group’s revenue… up 13.5% year over year and above our guidance; Adjusted EBITDA… up 30.3%… We remain on track to generate… $150 million net savings in 2025, and… $50 million of additional annual savings beginning in 2026” .
- On programmatic: “make our broadcast inventory transact like digital, unlocking a significant monetization opportunity” .
- On Q4 outlook: “We expect Q4 Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $200–$240 million… Q4 2024 included $83 million of political revenue” .
- On podcasting: “approximately 50% of our podcasting revenue was generated by our local sales force… demonstrating the unique advantage of having… the largest local sales force in media” .
Q&A Highlights
- Free cash flow and balance sheet: Negative Q3 FCF due to political prepayments in PY, non‑cash trade timing, and working capital; expect “meaningful” FCF in Q4 and intent to repay ABL; opportunistic on capital structure .
- Programmatic roadmap: Agreements across major DSPs; Amazon DSP adding broadcast inventory in 2026; management frames programmatic as building a “new incremental revenue source” with a potential trajectory akin to early podcasting growth .
- Podcast growth sustainability: Management emphasizes strong advertiser demand, high completion rates (~75–80%), and continued market share gains; Q4 dollars expected to increase sequentially even if percentages moderate due to larger base .
- Multi-Platform flow-through: Negative decrementals improving; path to margin uplift is a combination of revenue growth (high operating leverage) plus cost reductions and AI productivity .
Estimates Context
- Revenue: Reported $997.0M vs S&P Global consensus $980.1M (beat) .
- EPS: Reported diluted GAAP EPS ($0.43) vs S&P Global “Primary EPS” consensus ($0.01) loss—note basis differences between GAAP diluted EPS and “Primary EPS” used by S&P (miss) .
- Commentary: Consensus “EBITDA” figures may not align with the company’s Adjusted EBITDA reporting; management reported Adjusted EBITDA of $204.8M .
Note: S&P Global consensus values are marked with asterisks in tables. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes – Details and Rationale
- Q4 revenue guide reflects tough political comp ($83M in Q4’24) and underlying ex‑political growth in mid‑single digits; Adjusted EBITDA range $200–$240M incorporates mix/market uncertainty .
- Cost savings: $150M 2025 savings reiterated, plus $50M 2026 incremental savings actions largely benefiting the Multi-Platform Group .
- October pacing: down mid-teens YoY but approximately flat ex‑political vs Q4’24 baseline, indicating underlying stabilization .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Digital outperformance is carrying the portfolio while management executes to stabilize and re‑accelerate Multiplatform Group—programmatic enablement (Amazon DSP, StackAdapt) and TikTok partnership are credible monetization catalysts .
- Q3 revenue ex‑political growth (+2.8%) and flat Adjusted EBITDA YoY despite ad softness suggest improving quality of earnings from digital mix and cost discipline .
- Negative Q3 FCF looks transitory (timing/political/non‑cash trade); management expects “meaningful” Q4 FCF and ABL paydown, but leverage remains elevated near mid‑6x net debt/EBITDA—monitor execution and cash conversion .
- 2026 should benefit from both the U.S. political cycle and the $50M new cost program, offering a clearer path for margin and FCF expansion if ad trends hold .
- Risk factors: cyclicality in political/spots, broadcast ad monetization gap, and interest expense headwinds; Q3’s $208.5M FCC license impairment underscores sensitivity of GAAP results to non‑cash items .
- Near‑term trading: Street may reward evidence of programmatic/broadcast traction and Q4 FCF delivery; any signs of MPG revenue inflection or incremental partnerships could be catalysts .
- Medium‑term: The thesis hinges on scaling digital (especially podcasts), monetizing broadcast via DSPs, and sustaining cost/AI efficiency—all highlighted by management and supported by current results and partnerships .
Appendix: Additional Reference Tables
Revenue excluding political (Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024)
Liquidity snapshot (Q3 2025)
Quotes and partnership disclosures
- Amazon DSP programmatic audio expansion: iHeart streaming available now; podcasts and broadcast inventory to follow in 2026 .
- StackAdapt integration: real‑time access to AM/FM broadcast alongside digital audio/podcasts via StackAdapt platform .
- TikTok partnership: launch of TikTok Podcast Network (up to 25 shows), national “TikTok Radio,” and event integrations .